Predictive History Founding Members #1

How I Analyze the News With Game Theory

I want to give people insight into how I think about the world and how I go about doing research. I’m going to show you how I go about watching the news, interpreting the news, and analyzing news.

First of all, guys, I hate to break this to you, but I am not a spy. I do not work for the government. I do not have these huge resources behind me. I am not CIA. I am not the Chinese MSS, the Ministry of State Security. I am not Mossad. I am not FSB. I don’t work for any organization. I am not Skull and Bones.

I just work by myself. I don’t have any sources. No one is providing me with confidential sources of information. I don’t have a team behind me. I’m just one guy sitting in my bedroom, doing research, watching some YouTube videos, and providing my analysis to the world.

I don’t even have subscriptions to major publications such as The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, or the BBC. I don’t watch any of these mainstream news outlets. My two primary sources of information are Twitter and YouTube, and then I use Google as well. I don’t even have ChatGPT.

Ivanka Trump and the Protests in Albania

The first thing that caught my attention this week is that Ivanka Trump did an interview that went viral on the internet. Let’s look at her comments.

In Ivanka Trump’s interview with David Senra, she said:

It’s an unbelievable, beautiful, 1,400-hectare private island in the middle of the Mediterranean. We were on a friend’s boat, and we stopped for a swim. Effectively, that’s how we found it. We swam to the island. We went on a hike—barefoot all the way up to the top—and we were just captivated. And it stayed with us ever since.

This is interesting because Trump doesn’t really do interviews, and when she does interviews, it’s going to be strategic. I think she’s doing this interview because she’s really proud of this project, and she wants the world to know what a virtuous person she is and how it’s really a passion project. But, as you can appreciate, people didn’t really perceive it that way.

This Guardian article is about how protests in Albania broke out over the luxury resort. This has been going on for a few days now. When I heard the news, I actually didn’t believe it because, in my mind, Albania was a pretty corrupt place, and the Kushners are just front people for powerful people—basically oligarchs—who want to create this project.

I was shocked when I read that there were protesters in Albania. I didn’t really pay much attention to these protests, but they kept appearing on my timeline, so I started to open this Guardian article to see what was really going on.

When there are protests, there are two questions that I ask in order to better understand what’s going on:

  1. Who’s organizing these protests?
  2. Who’s funding these protests?

The Guardian article tells you that there is a leading conservation group called the Protection and Preservation of Natural Environment in Albania. It’s an NGO, and whenever there’s an NGO operating in Eastern Europe, you always think George Soros and Open Society.

I started to Google this organization to figure out who funds it. It says there are three funding organizations: WWF Global, the EC, and CEPF. These are rich people who are interested in conservation, so that makes sense.

But we can also imagine that George Soros is behind it, because if you look at who’s speaking out about the luxury resort and who’s articulating the discontent, it’s usually young people who studied abroad. George Soros and Open Society have been very instrumental in helping educate young Eastern Europeans in Western ideology.

Again, I’m not making a judgment on what’s going on. I’m just trying to figure out who the people in this story are so I can better analyze how they might proceed.

Israeli Spying and Section 224

What also caught my eye this week is this exclusive from NBC News. What they’re telling us is that there are officials within the Pentagon who are very, very concerned about Israeli spying.

Guess what, guys? The one country that is the most active in spying on the American military is, of course, Israel. They’re much more effective than the Russians, the Chinese, or the British.

Why is this an issue now? Why are people concerned about Israeli spying today, when for the past 50 years no one has talked about how Israel stole nuclear-weapons technology from the United States? No one talked about the 1967 USS Liberty. Why is the Pentagon now concerned about Israeli spying?

I think a lot of it has to do with the fact that Congress is planning to pass something called Section 224 of the national defense budget. This has been generating a lot of controversy, and when something is controversial, I like to hear or understand different sides.

We’re going to go to AIPAC. AIPAC will probably offer us the most useful analysis of what’s going on, because we know right away what the concern is: that the United States and Israel will merge their militaries, Israel will have access to America’s most sensitive technology, and basically the United States will be all-in on Israel.

If Israel were to start a war against Turkey or Egypt, which is something that they’ve talked about, then the United States is stuck in the Middle East forever. There’s a lot of concern about United States–Israel military cooperation, so it’s really important to hear the other side.

AIPAC is trying to sell politicians and the public on why it’s important to pass Section 224. It lists a lot of reasons, but basically these reasons are made up. There’s really no good reason. The dangers are much greater than the benefits.

What’s interesting is that AIPAC is going to offer spin. Let’s read some of AIPAC’s “Refuting Myths” document together.

Myth One: Section 224 Will Merge the U.S. and Israeli Militaries

AIPAC says:

The United States-Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative does not create joint command structures or transfer any decision-making power to Israel. It establishes a coordination mechanism for defense technology cooperation, formalizing and strengthening existing cooperation.

This doesn’t actually refute the concern that these militaries are merging. What this is saying is that Israel will not take control of the U.S. military. But no one is saying that Israel will control the U.S. military. Everyone is saying that these militaries will merge, and this will present a lot of strategic problems for the U.S., especially in the Middle East.

Basically, if Israel were to start a war, the United States would have no choice but to support Israel, even without congressional approval.

Myth Two: Section 224 Doesn’t Benefit America

AIPAC says:

The United States-Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative is a practical, commonsense effort to improve defense cooperation with one of America’s closest security partners. Enhanced U.S.-Israel cooperation will help ensure American troops have access to the best technologies to remain safe and effective on the battlefield.

But we just said that might be a problem, because Israel starts these wars for no reason and America will be dragged into these wars.

If American troops were not in battle to begin with, they’d be safer, right? America has no reason to start wars. Israel does have reason to start wars. This AIPAC document is not actually helping the case.

Myth Three: Section 224 Is a Backdoor Way to Provide Military Aid to Israel

There’s nothing mythical about this. This is just factual.

AIPAC says:

The United States-Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative does not authorize a single dollar of new aid or facilitate the transfer of any additional arms to Israel.

But what the document would do is change the definition. Before, America was providing aid to Israel. Now it’s just providing resources to itself that Israel can partake in. This is just spin. This makes no sense.

Myth Four: Section 224 Will Give Israel Influence Over U.S. Defense Programs or Supply Chains

This is the same as myth number one. No one is saying that Israel will take over the U.S. military. What we’re saying, though, is that Israel will be able to have greater influence over decision-making.

Myth Five: Section 224 Will Give Israel Access to U.S. Military Data

AIPAC says:

Nothing in the United States-Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative authorizes unrestricted sharing of U.S. military data. Existing security, classification, and technology protection requirements remain fully in force.

We already said that Israel spies on the American military. They can still spy in secret, and no one will bother them.

Myth Six: Section 224 Will Weaken Congressional Oversight and Transparency

This is the main argument. AIPAC says:

The United States-Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative increases transparency and accountability by creating new reporting requirements, congressional briefings, annual assessments on cooperative programs, and public updates. The provision will have no effect on existing Congressional oversight and authority over arms sales or appropriations.

Before, I thought AIPAC was really impressive. Having read this document, I have to say that this is all complete nonsense.

What people are concerned about is that Congress will have no oversight over the cooperation between Israel and the United States. What they’re saying is, “Well, you can still monitor what the military is doing.”

But if the cooperation between the United States and Israel is not clear, how can Congress properly analyze or understand this level of cooperation?

It seems like Section 224 is meant to obfuscate or hide the full extent of cooperation between the U.S. and Israeli militaries.

That’s why it’s important to read the other side. When you read the other side and realize the problems with the other side, that bolsters your understanding of the situation.

Public Ownership and the AI Bailout

Another news item that caught my attention is this Associated Press article about how Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Sam Altman are talking about public ownership and AI.

Bernie Sanders is very much concerned about the public risk of AI. He’s concerned that these companies—OpenAI and Anthropic—might develop sentient AI, AGI, that could destroy the world, and so the government needs to be more involved.

He’s also concerned about the environmental and economic costs of AI. Is it going to destroy jobs? Is it going to consume too much electricity and fresh water?

Whenever you see Bernie Sanders and Sam Altman in the same headline, you should be concerned, because what Sam Altman really wants is a public bailout.

I’ve talked about this in my lectures: it is impossible for these AI companies to make any money. They are not profitable by themselves. What they want is for the government to subsidize their enterprise. They’ll have complete control over information and surveillance, but it’s the public that pays for everything.

What Sam Altman basically wants is for the government to buy the data centers from him and subsidize the cost of running AI. Then OpenAI will be profitable.

This is all a giant scam, guys. Bernie Sanders is part of the scam. If Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Sam Altman are working together, you know it’s really, really bad. This is something that we should watch out for.

My prediction is that the government at some point will come in and make these data centers public, because these data centers are really, really expensive.

Larry Fink has also voiced concern that there might be some public outrage over these data centers and there might be public sabotage against them. Once the government takes them over, these data centers can become military bases. Good luck trying to attack a data center if it’s a military base.

This is very concerning.

Candace Owens in Russia

One last news item I want to look at is Candace Owens in Russia. The first question for everyone is: Why would Candace Owens go to Russia?

We’re going to have a quick look over her Twitter account. She has almost eight million followers. What’s pinned is Candace Owens going to Russia. It’s her first time in Russia, obviously, and she’s surprised by how beautiful it is.

Then Candace Owens says:

We told Russia they couldn’t have Starbucks. They said, “Fine, we’ll just change the name.”

They did this for every brand that got sanctioned. They just made it their own. What she’s saying is that American actions don’t really work.

She continues to make fun of Erika Kirk. Here she’s responding to Glenn Beck’s argument that Candace is becoming a bridge between the United States and Russia. She responds:

The spirit of Christianity does not exist beneath a yarmulke, kissing a wall in a city where religious leaders teach their children to spit upon those who worship Jesus Christ. It would therefore be my distinct honor to become the bridge that unites Christians in the East and Christians in the West.

Basically, she’s a Catholic and Russia is Orthodox. She’s trying to reconcile these two religions, which split about a thousand years ago.

She also says:

Moscow is one of the most beautiful cities I’ve ever been to, and I will return. Thank you to the Russian people for the warm welcome.

This is really important. What Candace Owens is saying is: From now on, I’m going to go to Russia more, and I’m going to promote deeper understanding between Russia and America.

What Is Candace Owens’s Agenda?

I’ve been thinking about this for the longest time because Candace Owens had this public split from Ben Shapiro and the Daily Wire. I think Candace Owens converted to Catholicism a couple of years ago. Her husband, George Farmer, is a Catholic convert as well.

Candace Owens is by far the bravest media personality in the world. She’s got balls, man. I don’t even know how heavy her balls are, but she is fearless.

I ask myself how she does that, because I’m not fearless. I’m very cautious about what I say. The major difference between Candace Owens and me is that I don’t really name names, because that’s how you get in trouble. You don’t go after one particular person, because then that person can come after you.

She’s gone after Erika Kirk for a long time. Before that, she went after Macron. They tried to sue her. She went after the head of state of France. You ask yourself what’s going on here.

I’m going to make certain assumptions. In game theory, it’s really important to make assumptions that you can validate against reality.

My assumption is that she is very close to the Catholic Church. The Catholic Church is the most powerful organization in the world. I’m not saying she’s close to the pope. I’m saying she’s close to certain elements within the Catholic Church that have their own agenda.

These might be Jesuits. This might be a certain faction of the Jesuits. They support Candace. They offer opportunity. Her going to Russia suggests that this particular faction is very interested in a reconciliation between the Catholic Church and the Orthodox Church, because they see the great enemy as American materialism, secularism, and liberalism.

These are honest people. I’m not saying these are politicians. I’m saying these are people who are genuinely concerned about the direction of the Western world, with all this mass immigration, all this materialism, the spread of OnlyFans, and the popularization of people like Andrew Tate.

They see Candace Owens as a vehicle to promote greater faith among young people, and she’s doing a fantastic job.

I think that’s her role. Her role is to create a spiritual awakening and get people to return to Jesus—the original teachings of Jesus. Not Protestantism, which is a corruption of the teachings of Jesus and the Church, but a return to the original Church, which is really the Orthodox faith.

That’s why I think Candace went to Russia: to unite the traditionalist elements of both the Catholic Church and the Orthodox Church and promote a spiritual awakening in the world.

That, I think, is her agenda. I could be wrong, but I think that’s what’s motivating her and why she’s getting so much support from both Russia and the Vatican.

What Is Candace’s Significance?

The fact that she’s a charismatic young mother who is Black and has four kids means she represents a role model for a lot of young religious people.

She represents what young women should be. They should strive to embrace the Catholic faith, or any religion. Basically, you should strive to have as many children as possible. You should strive to live a life of Christ. She’s always saying, “Christ is King.”

That’s what I think her significance is. No one else does what she does. No one else is the role model that she is trying to become.

How the AI Strategy Works

OpenAI does not make money by itself because there’s no market for it. What you do is unload the cost onto retail investors, the government, or anyone except yourself, and you’re the one pocketing the profits.

They’re not asking for a government contract. They’re asking for the government to buy out the data centers. They’re asking for the government to take a stake in their companies. That’s what they really want.

The idea is: If the government is part of the company, you can socialize the losses and privatize the gains. That’s what they want right now.

Right now, they’re stuck with the losses. The government comes in, and then you can steal money from the enterprise and put it in your own pocket and that of your private investors. The government will pick up the tab.

That’s how these people think. They’re crooks, man. They’re hustlers. They’re not entrepreneurs.

How I Select Interesting News

My mind has a theoretical framework for how the world works. I think there’s a certain structure to the world and certain theories about the agendas of certain individuals.

I get interested in news when dissonance is created—when something happens that doesn’t really fit into my worldview.

For the longest time, I thought that Ivanka and Jared Kushner were extremely private individuals who shied away from the spotlight. When they appear in the spotlight making an announcement, that’s news to me. What’s the agenda here? These are private people, and they don’t want all the scrutiny. If they’re coming out and making public statements, there must be a reason. That interests me.

Bernie Sanders is not an AI guy. Bernie Sanders is a socialist. He’s also over 80 years old. He doesn’t understand anything about AI. When Bernie Sanders is sitting down with Sam Altman, that is dissonance. That’s newsworthy to me.

We assume that the Pentagon and Israel are very close. When Pentagon insiders are leaking news of discord between Israel and the Pentagon, that’s news. That’s dissonance. That doesn’t make any sense.

Israel is a mercenary army subcontracted by the Pentagon to create as much conflict as possible in the Middle East. Why is the Pentagon talking crap about Israel? That’s newsworthy.

It’s something that appears that shouldn’t be there. It doesn’t fit into the regular worldview that I have.

Peter Thiel, Vladimir Putin, and Strategic Sense

The Thiel Fellows are a very impressive group of kids. I actually met one of them in Dubai, and he’s very, very impressive. They’re really, really smart. I appreciate the fact that they’re open-minded, curious, and looking at things from a different angle.

Even though what Peter Thiel is doing is pretty evil and dangerous, I’m pretty respectful of him. I like it when people who are evil actually know what they’re doing, because then it’s easier for me to understand their motivations and predict how they behave.

Peter Thiel is a chess player. The other person I admire a lot is Vladimir Putin. He’s also evil, and he’s also dangerous. But I admire Vladimir Putin because the things he does actually make sense.

People who annoy me are people like Donald Trump, because he’s always confusing me and it’s driving me insane. It’s hard for me to anticipate Donald Trump’s next moves.

Vladimir Putin and Peter Thiel are guys I respect and admire because what they do makes actual strategic sense.

Peter Thiel going to Argentina is really important. It gives you tremendous insight into how the world works. This past week, Javier Milei in Argentina has been passing laws that make it a lot easier to start AI companies and remove public scrutiny from AI companies.

Basically, Javier Milei is doing whatever Peter Thiel wants him to do and trying to create an AI surveillance  state in the Western Hemisphere.

Peter Thiel, if you are reading this: I admire you. I respect you. I’m your friend.

Are the Albanian Protests Organic?

I don’t think they’re organic in nature. It’s strange to me how, in these Eastern European nations, these protests happen.

It’s very much a color-revolution playbook, where you have these NGOs all around the country and it’s a network of them, all funded by George Soros and Open Society. They’re all trained in Washington, D.C., on how to organize these protests. They’re getting tons of media coverage.

The people you see on the BBC talking about these protests are these young, good-looking, articulate, English-speaking Albanians. They’re a minority. They’re a faction of the country.

Another comment I’ll make is: Why is it that you had the George Floyd protests, but now that you have this war in Iran, there are really few protests? Do you think No Kings is organic in nature? There has to be funding behind it. There has to be organization behind it.

I don’t think what’s happening in Albania is at all organic.

I can understand if they’re protesting corruption in the government. I can understand if they’re protesting taxes. But the fact that you have these rich people who have bought an island and want to develop it economically—it doesn’t make any sense to me why the Albanians would get upset over this.

Again, it’s all speculation. I don’t know. I’m following the news like everyone else. I don’t have inside information. I’m just thinking, using game theory, about what is transpiring.

SpaceX, OpenAI, and the Stock Market

I hate to say this, but the stock market and the financial markets are no longer retail. It’s just a few people who control all the resources.

SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—it’s a pump-and-dump scheme. These investors are going to blow it to the moon, and then when retail comes in, they’re just going to dump. They can keep doing this forever because only a few people—BlackRock, Vanguard, Blackstone—control all the money in the world.

It’s a casino. The house will always win.

Get out of the stock market. That’s my best advice. Get out of the stock market.

You look at oil futures and it makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for the past three months, and oil should be at $200 by now. It’s not. This tells you that these financial markets are rigged. It’s not a fair game.

How I Keep Track of Important News

I have friends who are writers and journalists. They have these thick notebooks, and they carry a notebook wherever they go. If they hear something, they’ll write it down. If they see something, they’ll write it down.

I don’t do that. What I do is keep it in my mind.

If I see something on the news, I say, “That’s interesting. I should refer back to it later on.” If you come to my house, I have no notes. If you look at my computer, I have no notes. It’s all in my mind.

The reason I do that is to maintain maximum flexibility. I basically put the news item in short-term memory and ask myself: Will this thing escalate? Will this thing continue?

If it does, then I pay attention to it. I transfer it from short-term memory into long-term memory. That’s what gives me maximum intellectual flexibility.

It’s something I do because I have a very good memory—a very strong memory. I remember most things people tell me. I remember most things I read, so I don’t need to keep notes.

How I Sift Through Nonsense

I go over my Twitter feed and look at things that catch my attention.

What’s really important is being able to figure out what is newsworthy and what is just clickbait. On Twitter especially, a lot of news items are just made up. They just made it up.

In an age of AI, most videos, most photos, and most news items are completely made up by AI. I’ve trained my mind to be able to spot the difference.

I don’t know what comes onto my Twitter feed. I ignore things that I think are made up. I ignore things I don’t care about or don’t understand.

Then I see a post saying:

China didn’t wait long to respond. Hours after Japan and the Philippines announced maritime delimitation talks east of Taiwan, Beijing launched a law-enforcement operation in those waters.

This is something I will focus on and pay attention to. Mario Nawfal is very good. He has a really strong team working behind him.

This is a conflict I’ve been watching very closely. At some point, China and Japan will go kinetic, meaning they will fight over shipping lanes in the South China Sea. They have no choice in the matter.

I’ll keep it in the back of my mind. What I’ll remember is this: Japan and the Philippines are working together.

I’ll also remember that Japan wants to clarify a lot of things in East Asia. For the longest time, there was strategic ambiguity in these waters, and China kept encroaching, especially with shipping vessels. Japan didn’t really bother because Japan didn’t want a conflict. But now Japan wants a conflict, so Japan will be much clearer about where its territorial waters are.

This is something I’m going to watch very, very closely: this emerging conflict between China and Japan in the South China Sea.

Then I see a claim that Albanians are going door to door and rounding up Israelis. This is BS. This is not true. This is not even funny.

I see something about high cortisol being the real reason you can’t sleep through the night. This is something I’m interested in because I have problems sleeping. It’s cortisol, but I have cortisol because the world is screwed up, guys. That’s the issue. It’s not that you shouldn’t be stressed. You should be stressed because the world is screwed up.

Then I see:

The Pentagon just declared Israel an enemy of the U.S. the same week Congress voted to merge our military with theirs.

This is a great post, and it shows you the dissonance at play here. The question is why the Pentagon is leaking its concern about Israel while, at the same time, Congress is voting to merge these two militaries.

It shows you the factional struggles within the American military.

Tim Dillon is great, by the way. I love Tim Dillon. I think he is the funniest comedian right now.

Then I see a claim that Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner purchased their private island with a bunker because they know something big is coming within the next six months.

This is not true.

Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner live in a fantasy world where they are the best and the brightest, where they got where they are because they worked hard, they’re smarter than everyone else, and the world is perfect. They don’t have a conscious understanding of the public outrage at people like them.

They live in a fantasy world. They’re delusional. They don’t really believe that the world will turn against them. They think they control the world, they are the perfect rulers, and everyone loves them.

They didn’t buy that island because they want to build a bunker. First of all, it’s not their money. They’re just the front people. They’re just the actors. They bought the island because it was a good investment. It’s as simple as that.

Then I see that Kash Patel is investigating Candace Owens’s trip to Russia. I think this is true. I think this has credibility.

I would be surprised if there weren’t concern among the FBI that Candace Owens is now under the influence of the Russians.

For the longest time, the FBI, CIA, and NSA were spying on Tucker Carlson. When Tucker Carlson was at Fox News, he was scheduled to go to Russia to interview Vladimir Putin. The CIA spied on Tucker Carlson. They knew about this, and they sabotaged the trip. Tucker would eventually go, of course, but that was four or five years after he originally wanted to go.

I’m scrolling through and explaining my thought process. I’m doing this really, really fast. My mind is able to prioritize what’s important. My mind is also able to figure out what’s fake and what’s not fake, but that’s because I’ve been doing this for a long time.

Questions About Iran

Will Iran Use Ground Troops to Create a Second Line of Defense?

No. I think a ground offensive by the Iranians would be complete suicide, because then you’re exposed to air power, and that’s what the Americans and Israel specialize in.

Iran will continue its hide-and-seek guerrilla-warfare strategy throughout.

Does Iran Already Have a Nuclear Weapon?

Larry Johnson and Pepe Escobar—two people I respect—went on Judging Freedom with Judge Andrew Napolitano, who I think is fantastic. I’m a huge fan of all these people, but the three of them did a tremendous disservice to everyone, especially Iranians, by saying that Iran already has a nuclear weapon.

This is really dangerous and stupid. This is not a good thing for anyone.

What they’re saying is that a third party—it could be Pakistan, North Korea, who knows—has given nuclear weapons to Iran.

From a game-theory perspective, why would Iran want this?

Someone gives you a nuclear weapon. First of all, how do you know it works?

Second, a nuclear weapon by itself does nothing for you. You need the delivery system. You need control-and-command mechanisms so that you can actually send a nuclear weapon where you want. Otherwise, that nuclear weapon might blow up in your face—literally blow up in your face.

Third, how do you do maintenance? What do three nuclear weapons get you? You’re forced to blow up one. You might detonate one to test it out and send a message, and then you have two nuclear weapons. America has thousands of nuclear weapons.

From a game-theory perspective, America would love Iran to have a nuclear weapon, because that justifies America using nuclear weapons against Iran. Only if America uses nuclear weapons against Iran can America win this war.

I don’t know what’s happening. Larry Johnson, Pepe Escobar, and Judge Napolitano could be useful idiots, or they could be more malicious, but they’re actually helping shape the American narrative.

If people are afraid that Iran has a nuclear weapon, then you send in ground troops. You send in your air force to knock out Iran’s capacity to deliver these nuclear weapons.

I guarantee you that if Israel has concrete evidence that Iran has a nuclear weapon and is planning to use it against Tel Aviv, Israel is going to attack first. There’s absolutely no way Israel will allow Iran to do a first strike against Tel Aviv.

I don’t know what’s going on, but I think it’s complete nonsense. It’s complete BS. It’s very dangerous for people to believe that Iran has a nuclear weapon.

Was the War Engineered to Cause a Depression and Force the Rollout of CBDCs?

I think CBDCs are going to come regardless. It’s already happening in Canada, where I think Mark Carney is making it illegal to have more than $2,000 in cash. I don’t know if this has passed or if he’s just discussing it.

China is a CBDC society, and I don’t understand why Canada and the United States can’t have this as well.

Do I think this has all been engineered? I don’t think it’s engineered. I think they know it’s going to happen. They know that a financial crisis and crash are going to happen. They know that war is going to break out. Why not accelerate events and then control events?

I don’t think they are smart enough to actually engineer these things. I think they are responding and reacting to real-time crises.

Remember, the Iran war is a response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It’s a response to a growing alliance between Russia, China, and Iran.

How Will Section 224 Affect the Iran War?

I think Iran is forever at war. I think the entire point of Section 224 is to commit America forever to this war.

Because Israel is at war, America is stuck there. Make Israel the scapegoat, and then, because of Section 224, America is obligated always to be there to support Israel.

What Is Happening With the Ceasefire?

This ceasefire between the United States and Iran is all theater. It’s all to buy time.

They’re either waiting for a false flag to justify a ground invasion, or they’re just ramping up forces for a ground invasion. The next step is a ground invasion.

Is Candace Owens a Deep Plant?

If you go to the very top—if you go to Washington, D.C., parties or the Hamptons for the summer—guys, these people are all friends. They’re all related to one another.

But that doesn’t mean they don’t actually hate each other. They’re all fighting for power.

They’re all related to each other. They’re all friends. They all have similar interests. Within these boundaries and conditions, they struggle for control over certain things.

Look at artificial intelligence. Most artificial-intelligence companies are backed by Wall Street, but that doesn’t mean Silicon Valley and Wall Street don’t fight. They’re both trying to direct Washington policy in a certain way that benefits them.

That’s something that’s really hard for people to appreciate: At the very top, everyone is playing a multidimensional game. Everyone has divided loyalties and allegiances because everyone is trying to position himself or herself in a way that maximizes his or her power.

It’s a very complicated game. That’s why they’re all psychopaths, man. They’re all sociopaths. You can’t actually read them. They’re amazing poker players. You can never read their minds, and you can never actually figure out what their intention is.

That’s why it’s important to use game theory. Game theory removes the personalities and just looks at the game and how the players will try to navigate it. That gives you the best indicator of how they will behave.

Candace Owens is friends with everyone.

Is Candace Being Influenced by Foreign Intelligence Agencies?

Yes, but I would argue that’s how the world works.

There are many different groups. They’re all working together, and they’re all opposing each other. It’s not as easy as saying Candace is a spy.

I think she has friends in Mossad. I think she has friends in the KGB or FSB. She has friends in the CIA. She probably doesn’t even know it. She probably doesn’t know these friends are actually CIA or Mossad.

They’ll have dinner together and talk. Then this friend will give her some information that she will deliver on her show. She’s being a useful idiot, and that’s just how the world works.

That’s what makes me unique: I actually don’t talk to people because I know that, if I talk to people, they’ll just feed me crap that is meant to influence others. I’d rather stick to game-theory analysis.

PBD and Mehdi Hasan

I’ve been on both of their shows, and my interview with Mehdi Hasan went viral.

Mehdi Hasan is just a very naturally combative person. He’s very good at what he does. He’s very good at taking your words and then warping them in a certain way that allows him to attack you. He’s always in attack mode.

PBD is a businessman. He’s a bit of a hustler. He likes a lot of back-and-forth, but he likes to feel you out.

When the two are together, Mehdi will run him over, because Mehdi Hasan is all attack, whereas PBD is trying to be smooth. That’s not really a fair matchup.

The Influence of Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson

I think Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson are two of the most influential people in America right now. I think it’s very smart for Russia to try to cozy up to both of them.

I’m not saying they’re powerful necessarily because of numbers. I’m saying they’re powerful because their fans really believe in their message. Their message is able to resonate with their audience.

Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson are two of the smartest, savviest media personalities right now. What makes them really smart is that they’re able to read the political winds.

That’s really hard to do: anticipate the trend, not follow the trend. That’s what Tucker and Candace do really, really well.

Tucker talks a lot about demons and spirituality. He knows there’s this yearning among the American people for spiritual deliverance. There’s almost a tipping point where a lot of people are now going to return to the faith.

I think the fastest-growing religion in America right now is the Orthodox Church, because the Orthodox Church is the most conservative, the most traditional, and the most consistent.

I think Candace and Tucker are really smart, and they’ll go from strength to strength. If I were an investor and Tucker and Candace were stocks, I’d put all my money on Candace and Tucker.

Some media personalities who I think are declining are people like Joe Rogan. They’re declining in influence. I think Nick Fuentes is declining in influence as well.

I think Candace and Tucker will only become more influential over time.

Opus Dei and the Catholic Church

Is Candace Owens Opus Dei? That’s a great question. I think she’s Jesuit-affiliated. Is she Opus Dei? I don’t know.

I know that JD Vance is Opus Dei. Opus Dei, if you don’t know, is one of the secret societies of the Catholic Church. There are many, many secret societies of the Catholic Church, but Opus Dei is one of the most famous. It’s extremely hierarchical, and it’s extremely messianic.

I would not be surprised at all if she were Opus Dei. It’s possible her husband, George Farmer, is Opus Dei and she’s not. That, I think, is the most likely possibility.

How Does Someone Get Close to High-Ups in the Catholic Church?

I assume the Catholic Church is run by certain families. I think there are certain families that have the real power in the Catholic Church.

They reach out to you through their agents—their intermediaries. It’s not, “Come to my house and we’ll sign a contract.” It’s more like, “I have a friend who has a friend who knows you and who’s going to pass on messages to you.”

The Future of the U.S. Military

If you are going into the U.S. military, I would say you have a very bright future.

There are certain trends you should watch out for in the U.S. military.

First of all, I think the U.S. military is going to expand rapidly over the next 10 or 20 years. The reason is that America needs control over the Western Hemisphere.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the military went in to colonize places like Mexico, Colombia, Honduras, Cuba, Greenland, and possibly even as far as Venezuela.

If you’re in the military, you basically become a viceroy. You become a military dictator. That’s a very good life, if you can become part of the military occupation.

Another thing that is going to happen in the military is privatization. America wants to retreat from the world and focus on the Western Hemisphere. The best way to do that is to privatize your military and then merge your private military with Japan, Germany, and Israel.

The idea is that you privatize the military. It becomes companies that sign contracts with host nation-states such as Israel, Japan, and Germany.

Those, I think, are the two major trends:

  1. Military occupation of the Western Hemisphere.
  2. Privatization of the American military, which then merges into other nation-states.

If you’re in the military, that’s a very good future.

Could Data Centers Be a False Flag?

We have absolutely no idea what’s going on in these data centers. They’re so huge.

I would not be surprised if these data centers are being set up as a false flag. What I mean is: They store all the financial data in these data centers, and then one is blown up by this lone-wolf Unabomber guy who is not at all MKUltra, who is not at all CIA-affiliated—not at all.

He’s working by himself. He’s not part of this CIA team. But the data center is blown up, and, oops, all that financial data is gone. And it’s the Iranians who did this.

I would not be surprised if there were a false-flag attack on these data centers at some point.

Thoughts on Nick Fuentes

I think Nick is a really talented guy. I’ve never met him. I don’t know him. I’ve never been on his livestream. He would never invite me for a conversation.

I’m very close with Sneako, who is also very close with Nick.

I think he’s a really smart guy, but at the same time, he’s deeply compromised. Certain things he says suggest that he’s not free to say whatever he wants.

His anti-Jewish, antisemitic rants, I think, are not at all organic. I can understand why someone is angry at Israel. I can understand why people have problems with Zionism. But the fact that he attacks Jewish people, I think, is problematic.

I think he’s a smart guy. I think he’s capable of nuance and subtlety. The fact that, on this Jewish question, he refuses to have nuance and subtlety is problematic.

If you really want to understand why Nick Fuentes is probably compromised, Google January 6 and Nick Fuentes. It’s a very problematic thing.

Once you read about his actions on January 6 and the fact that he was not at all charged or persecuted for what he did on January 6, it suggests that he’s probably compromised.

The Third Rome

Could Candace become an agent who helps push for Third Rome–esque eschatology?

Yes, I think so. I think that’s the intention. I think that’s what the game theory suggests.

I think Candace Owens also appreciates the ideas of Dugin.

State-Owned AI and Data Centers

Canada has announced an AI strategy that sounds like it wants state-owned AI and data centers. Will people like Sam Altman see that as a threat, or find a way to sell to countries?

There’s no AI competition. There just isn’t.

If you think about what AI is, it’s a mechanism for the state to exert maximum control over people.

These states that are introducing AI surveillance—Britain, Canada, China, and the United States—actually work with each other. They’re not competing against each other.

That’s something people don’t really appreciate about geopolitics. These intelligence agencies—Mossad, FSB, MSS, and CIA—are actually friends with each other. They’re working together because, ultimately, they are parasites on the nation-state, and they’re trying to absorb as much power and financing for themselves as possible.

The way you do that is by manufacturing threats. You say, “If you don’t give us money, then the FSB, Mossad, or MSS will take us over. We have to defend against them.”

Intelligence agencies and militaries don’t compete against each other. They work with each other.

It’s the same thing with AI data centers. They don’t compete against each other. They work with each other.

Peter Thiel

I think Peter Thiel is the smartest guy in the world right now. I think he’s very strategic. I think he has a higher purpose. He seems to be on a mission, and I don’t think there’s anyone in the world who can stop him.

The thing to know about really smart people is that they don’t like to fight each other. They like to work together.

Peter Thiel is someone you want to stay clear of. He’s very smart. He’s very dangerous. I think he’s a lot smarter than Elon Musk. I think he’s a lot smarter than Jeff Bezos.

What is Jeff Bezos doing with his time? He’s shooting phalluses up into space. He’s going to these silly parties with his wife. It’s embarrassing what he’s doing.

You’re a billionaire, man. You’re trying to get attention for yourself. Grow up, man.

My Problem With DEI

Martin Luther King Jr.’s main argument throughout the 1960s was that we should not judge anyone by the color of his skin. We should be fair to everyone. We should look beyond race and look at character, merit, and hard work.

That’s something I strongly believe in, and it makes sense.

How do we get to a time when all that matters is your skin color? If you’re Black, Hispanic, gay, or a woman, you’ve historically been oppressed, and therefore society has a responsibility to address these historical wrongs.

What I think DEI really is, is a tool used by the financial elite—people like Larry Fink—to distract people from legitimate grievances against class inequality in America.

I think DEI is a direct response to Occupy Wall Street. People forget this, but Occupy Wall Street had the potential to become a real political revolution in America: “We are the 99%. Let’s unite together.”

How do you divide Occupy Wall Street? You break it down according to race, meaning Black versus white.

If you look at Antifa and the George Floyd protests, these were not organic things. They were clearly engineered. They were clearly being sponsored.

I have a lot of issues with DEI.

Who Will Win the AI Race?

I think the oligarchs will win the AI race.

China and America are partners in AI. China gives America a reason—a pretext—to roll out an AI surveillance state. America gives China a reason to roll out its own AI surveillance state.

They’re all friends.

Michael Burry is a really smart guy. He has recently said that the AI boom resembles a financial bubble.

But there’s nothing you can do about it because all the money is being controlled by a few selected people. So what if the bubble bursts? The government is going to step in and bail them out.

It’s a rigged game. They know when the bubble will burst. You don’t know when the bubble will burst. They can drag this out for another 10 years.

The bubble is going to burst eventually, but they can drag this out for as long as they want.

Michael Burry has said this, but I also think Michael Burry is not betting against these AI companies, because it’s suicide to bet against these AI companies.

America’s Republic Phase

I think this is very much like the 1920s.

What we should expect is a Great Depression and a stock-market collapse.

Spiritual Belief in China

What kind of spiritual belief do Chinese people practice?

People here love money, man. Chinese people are the most materialistic people you will ever meet.

It’s money, money, money.

That’s all that matters.

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