Predictive History

Latest — 28 May 2026

Game Theory #29: Final Examination

Geopolitics and the Decline of America On the State of US Geopolitics Carina: Based on your lectures, it seems the US is pretty screwed. They need other countries to buy US Treasuries. Israel's not loyal — Israel probably wants to work with other countries to establish their own Pax

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Game Theory #28: Predictive History

The main driving question is: why did the United States attack Iran? This is the central mystery of the world today, because even now Donald Trump has yet to articulate a reason for attacking Iran. And unless we can properly understand or diagnose the rationale for this war, it'

Game Theory #27: Putin Enters the Chat

President Putin arrived in Beijing on Tuesday evening. He had a full day of meetings yesterday and left last night. They went to a conference hall where they unveiled a photo of the two being very close. President Putin and President Xi are very good friends. This is Putin'

Game Theory #26: The Holy Empire of AI

We will connect secret societies, eschatology, and secret history with game theory to show how the world works. First, let's go over some popular conspiracy theories about how the world works. There are different variations, so I'll just go over a very simplified, clear version. We

Game Theory #25: Trump Visits China

Trump is in China. He came in last night, and this morning he met with President Xi at the Great Hall of the People.He brought his entire cabinet, including Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, as well as Pete Hegseth, who is the Secretary of War. The last time

Game Theory #24: The AI Apocalypse

After I posted my thoughts from last Thursday, my friend and teacher David Bromwich sent me an email. I asked for his permission to make it public, and he agreed. Today, we're going to read his email together. He said: I just watched your video. There's

Game Theory #23: The WWIII Chessboard

This is an introduction to the chessboard, the players, and how the game of World War III will be played over the next 5 to 10 years. The two major players are the United States and Russia. Right now, they are fighting a proxy war in the Middle East between

Great Books #10: Dante's Hierarchy of Hell

We finished Dante's Inferno today. I'm going to give you an overview of how Dante constructs Hell and explain his reasoning for the structure. First, I will explain Dante's cosmology—how he understands God and our relationship with God. Dante's Cosmology: God,

Game Theory #22: Twilight of the Nation-State

There is a ceasefire now between Iran and the United States, but most analysts expect that this war will resume in a week, two weeks, or a month. It will resume because it is impossible for the United States and Iran to come to a mutually beneficial and satisfying arrangement.

Game Theory #21: World War Trump

There has been a two-week ceasefire between Iran and the United States, which is supposed to end tomorrow. Right now, the Americans have gone to Islamabad to negotiate a possible peace treaty. The Iranians may or may not go; we don't know yet. It is entirely possible that

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Predictive History

A community-driven archive of Professor Jiang Xueqin's lectures. By analyzing the recurring patterns of civilization and structural game theory, we explore where humanity is headed next.

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